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Sanctions Reconsidered : the Path Forward with North Korea

机译:重新考虑制裁:朝鲜的前进之路

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摘要

There have been regular predictions of North Korea’s imminent collapse. Yet, by adapting to changing circumstances, and finding new supply lines and revenue streams, the state has managed to bypass an increasingly strict sanctions regime aimed at rolling back its nuclear program. This article details the economic flows that continue to keep North Korea alive, against all odds, but argued that these areas are difficult to target as even “smart sanctions” are highly likely to have a range of adverse effects on the wider population. That said, this article recommends continued monitoring of the arms trade, and measures to squeeze the court economy and to target remittances from exported laborers. Yet such efforts have to be combined with a smarter diplomacy built on engagement.
机译:经常有关于北朝鲜即将崩溃的预测。但是,通过适应不断变化的情况,并找到新的供应线和收入来源,该州设法绕开了旨在缩减其核计划的日益严格的制裁制度。本文详细介绍了在各种困难下仍能维持朝鲜生存的经济流动,但认为这些地区也难以确定目标,因为即使是“智能制裁”也很可能对广大民众产生一系列不利影响。就是说,本文建议继续监控武器贸易,并采取措施压缩法院经济并针对出口劳工的汇款。但是,这些努力必须与建立在参与上的更明智的外交相结合。

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